Българска академия на науките индивидуален научноизследователски проект



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The Capital Markets of Southeastern Euro
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ИЗПОЛЗВАНА ЛИТЕРАТУРА:



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Приложение 1:
Корелационна матрица - Албания







FDI

GDP_growth

T_bond_volume

Real_Interest_rate

Strength_legal_rights_ingex

Depozit_interest_rate

Gross_savings

Gross_capital_formation

External_debt_stock

Inflation_consumer_prices

Lending_interest_rate

FDI

Pearson Correlation

1

,113

,215

,225

-,340

-,615**

,051

,491**

,919**

-,312

-,706**

Sig. (2-tailed)




,551

,644

,354

,336

,002

,794

,006

,000

,158

,000

N

30

30

7

19

10

22

29

30

23

22

20

GDP_growth

Pearson Correlation

,113

1

-,603

-,263

,490

-,046

,464*

,294

,020

-,446*

,414

Sig. (2-tailed)

,551




,152

,277

,151

,838

,011

,115

,929

,037

,069

N

30

30

7

19

10

22

29

30

23

22

20

T_bond_volume

Pearson Correlation

,215

-,603

1

-,226

-,829*

-,898**

-,622

-,521

,748

-,693

-,876**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,644

,152




,626

,011

,006

,187

,231

,053

,084

,010

N

7

7

8

7

8

7

6

7

7

7

7

Real_Interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

,225

-,263

-,226

1

,073

-,805**

,679**

,579**

,274

-,947**

-,595**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,354

,277

,626




,841

,000

,002

,009

,257

,000

,007

N

19

19

7

19

10

19

18

19

19

19

19

Strength_legal_rights_ingex

Pearson Correlation

-,340

,490

-,829*

,073

1

,661*

.a

,025

-,561

,428

,729*

Sig. (2-tailed)

,336

,151

,011

,841




,037

,000

,945

,092

,218

,017

N

10

10

8

10

11

10

9

10

10

10

10

Depozit_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,615**

-,046

-,898**

-,805**

,661*

1

-,693**

-,786**

-,687**

,492*

,895**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,002

,838

,006

,000

,037




,000

,000

,000

,020

,000

N

22

22

7

19

10

22

21

22

22

22

20

Gross_savings

Pearson Correlation

,051

,464*

-,622

,679**

.a

-,693**

1

,841**

,436*

-,768**

-,352

Sig. (2-tailed)

,794

,011

,187

,002

,000

,000




,000

,042

,000

,139

N

29

29

6

18

9

21

29

29

22

21

19

Gross_capital_formation

Pearson Correlation

,491**

,294

-,521

,579**

,025

-,786**

,841**

1

,741**

-,713**

-,709**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,006

,115

,231

,009

,945

,000

,000




,000

,000

,000

N

30

30

7

19

10

22

29

30

23

22

20

External_debt_stock

Pearson Correlation

,919**

,020

,748

,274

-,561

-,687**

,436*

,741**

1

-,331

-,777**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000

,929

,053

,257

,092

,000

,042

,000




,133

,000

N

23

23

7

19

10

22

22

23

23

22

20

Inflation_consumer_prices

Pearson Correlation

-,312

-,446*

-,693

-,947**

,428

,492*

-,768**

-,713**

-,331

1

,396

Sig. (2-tailed)

,158

,037

,084

,000

,218

,020

,000

,000

,133




,084

N

22

22

7

19

10

22

21

22

22

22

20

Lending_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,706**

,414

-,876**

-,595**

,729*

,895**

-,352

-,709**

-,777**

,396

1

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000

,069

,010

,007

,017

,000

,139

,000

,000

,084




N

20

20

7

19

10

20

19

20

20

20

20

FDI

Pearson Correlation

1

,113

,215

,225

-,340

-,615**

,051

,491**

,919**

-,312

-,706**

Sig. (2-tailed)




,551

,644

,354

,336

,002

,794

,006

,000

,158

,000

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).




*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).




a. Cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant.






Приложение 2:
Корелационна таблица - Македония







Market_Capitalization

FDI

GDP_growth

R_and_D_expenditure

Real_Interest_rate

Strength_of_legal_rights_index

Deposit_interest_rate

Gross_savings

Gross_capital_formation

External_debt_stock

Inflation_consumer_prices

Lending_interest_rate

Market_Capitalization

Pearson Correlation

1

,597*

,410

-,433

-,439

.a

-,403

,002

,048

,166

,019

-,284

Sig. (2-tailed)




,011

,102

,122

,078

.

,109

,993

,855

,524

,941

,270

N

17

17

17

14

17

9

17

17

17

17

17

17

FDI

Pearson Correlation

,597*

1

,341

-,512

-,655**

.a

-,372

,219

,491*

,648**

-,256

-,409

Sig. (2-tailed)

,011




,141

,061

,002

.

,106

,399

,028

,002

,276

,073

N

17

20

20

14

20

10

20

17

20

20

20

20

GDP_growth

Pearson Correlation

,410

,341

1

-,129

-,324

.a

-,403

-,002

,427*

,301

-,369

-,419

Sig. (2-tailed)

,102

,141




,661

,163

.

,078

,993

,042

,186

,109

,066

N

17

20

23

14

20

10

20

17

23

21

20

20

R_and_D_expenditure

Pearson Correlation

-,433

-,512

-,129

1

,686**

.a

,892**

-,157

-,384

-,721**

,097

,850**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,122

,061

,661




,007

.

,000

,592

,175

,004

,741

,000

N

14

14

14

14

14

7

14

14

14

14

14

14

Real_Interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,439

-,655**

-,324

,686**

1

.a

-,153

-,434

-,339

-,621**

-,275

-,085

Sig. (2-tailed)

,078

,002

,163

,007




.

,520

,082

,144

,003

,240

,722

N

17

20

20

14

20

10

20

17

20

20

20

20

Strength_of_legal_rights_index

Pearson Correlation

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

.a

Sig. (2-tailed)

.

.

.

.

.




.

.

.

.

.

.

N

9

10

10

7

10

11

10

9

10

10

10

10

Deposit_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,403

-,372

-,403

,892**

-,153

.a

1

-,488*

-,467*

-,353

,989**

,996**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,109

,106

,078

,000

,520

.




,047

,038

,126

,000

,000

N

17

20

20

14

20

10

20

17

20

20

20

20

Gross_savings

Pearson Correlation

,002

,219

-,002

-,157

-,434

.a

-,488*

1

,774**

,711**

,017

-,597*

Sig. (2-tailed)

,993

,399

,993

,592

,082

.

,047




,000

,001

,947

,011

N

17

17

17

14

17

9

17

17

17

17

17

17

Gross_capital_formation

Pearson Correlation

,048

,491*

,427*

-,384

-,339

.a

-,467*

,774**

1

,853**

-,393

-,506*

Sig. (2-tailed)

,855

,028

,042

,175

,144

.

,038

,000




,000

,087

,023

N

17

20

23

14

20

10

20

17

24

21

20

20

External_debt_stock

Pearson Correlation

,166

,648**

,301

-,721**

-,621**

.a

-,353

,711**

,853**

1

-,252

-,410

Sig. (2-tailed)

,524

,002

,186

,004

,003

.

,126

,001

,000




,284

,072

N

17

20

21

14

20

10

20

17

21

21

20

20

Inflation_consumer_prices

Pearson Correlation

,019

-,256

-,369

,097

-,275

.a

,989**

,017

-,393

-,252

1

,979**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,941

,276

,109

,741

,240

.

,000

,947

,087

,284




,000

N

17

20

20

14

20

10

20

17

20

20

20

20

Lending_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,284

-,409

-,419

,850**

-,085

.a

,996**

-,597*

-,506*

-,410

,979**

1

Sig. (2-tailed)

,270

,073

,066

,000

,722

.

,000

,011

,023

,072

,000




N

17

20

20

14

20

10

20

17

20

20

20

20

*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).

a. Cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant.

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

Приложение 3:



Корелационна матрица - Сърбия







Market_Cap

FDI

GDP_Growth

R_and_D_expenditure

Real_interest_rate

Strength_legal_rights_index

Depozit_interest_rate

Gross_savings

Gross_Capital_formation

External_debt_stock

Inflation_consumer_prices

Lending_rate

Market_Cap

Pearson Correlation

1

,621**

,201

,337

,094

,792**

,005

,825**

,650**

,683**

-,178

,039

Sig. (2-tailed)




,000

,278

,064

,616

,000

,979

,000

,000

,000

,338

,837

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

FDI

Pearson Correlation

,621**

1

,397*

,304

,150

,610**

,000

,369*

,698**

,377*

-,115

,183

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000




,027

,097

,420

,000

,997

,041

,000

,037

,539

,324

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

GDP_Growth

Pearson Correlation

,201

,397*

1

,060

-,073

,187

,351

-,041

,510**

-,113

,148

,141

Sig. (2-tailed)

,278

,027




,749

,697

,313

,053

,828

,003

,544

,428

,449

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

R_and_D_expenditure

Pearson Correlation

,337

,304

,060

1

,219

,338

,524**

,451*

,595**

,289

,196

,679**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,064

,097

,749




,237

,063

,002

,011

,000

,115

,291

,000

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Real_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

,094

,150

-,073

,219

1

,157

-,303

,129

,135

,038

-,337

,590**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,616

,420

,697

,237




,398

,097

,489

,469

,841

,063

,000

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Strength_legal_rights_index

Pearson Correlation

,792**

,610**

,187

,338

,157

1

,007

,735**

,596**

,489**

-,242

,044

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000

,000

,313

,063

,398




,971

,000

,000

,005

,190

,815

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Depozit_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

,005

,000

,351

,524**

-,303

,007

1

,056

,154

-,046

,341

,227

Sig. (2-tailed)

,979

,997

,053

,002

,097

,971




,764

,407

,806

,060

,220

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Gross_savings

Pearson Correlation

,825**

,369*

-,041

,451*

,129

,735**

,056

1

,488**

,774**

-,171

,042

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000

,041

,828

,011

,489

,000

,764




,005

,000

,357

,822

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Gross_Capital_formation

Pearson Correlation

,650**

,698**

,510**

,595**

,135

,596**

,154

,488**

1

,311

,313

,412*

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000

,000

,003

,000

,469

,000

,407

,005




,088

,086

,021

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

External_debt_stock

Pearson Correlation

,683**

,377*

-,113

,289

,038

,489**

-,046

,774**

,311

1

-,300

-,111

Sig. (2-tailed)

,000

,037

,544

,115

,841

,005

,806

,000

,088




,100

,553

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Inflation_consumer_prices

Pearson Correlation

-,178

-,115

,148

,196

-,337

-,242

,341

-,171

,313

-,300

1

,234

Sig. (2-tailed)

,338

,539

,428

,291

,063

,190

,060

,357

,086

,100




,206

N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Lending_rate

Pearson Correlation

,039

,183

,141

,679**

,590**

,044

,227

,042

,412*

-,111

,234

1

Sig. (2-tailed)

,837

,324

,449

,000

,000

,815

,220

,822

,021

,553

,206




N

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
a. Cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant.


Приложение 4:



Корелационна матрица – Черна гора







Market_Cap

FDI

GDP_growth

R_and_D_expenditure

Real_Interest_rate

Strength_of_legal_rights_index

Depozit_interest_rate

Gross_savings

Gross_capital_formation

External_debt_stock

Inflation_consumer_prices

Lending_interest_rate

Market_Cap

Pearson Correlation

1

,544

-,317

-,277

,041

-,839**

-,207

,532

,437

-,359

,136

-,293

Sig. (2-tailed)




,207

,372

,652

,923

,009

,567

,277

,207

,429

,747

,482

N

10

7

10

5

8

8

10

6

10

7

8

8

FDI

Pearson Correlation

,544

1

,035

-,205

-,223

-,221

-,112

-,922*

,568

-,843*

,471

-,897**

Sig. (2-tailed)

,207




,940

,869

,631

,634

,811

,026

,183

,035

,286

,006

N

7

7

7

3

7

7

7

5

7

6

7

7

GDP_growth

Pearson Correlation

-,317

,035

1

,742

-,790*

-,006

,565

-,553

,367

-,735

,259

,237

Sig. (2-tailed)

,372

,940




,091

,020

,990

,089

,256

,197

,060

,536

,572

N

10

7

16

6

8

8

10

6

14

7

8

8

R_and_D_expenditure

Pearson Correlation

-,277

-,205

,742

1

-,860

.a

,971**

-1,000**

,578

-1,000**

,218

,371

Sig. (2-tailed)

,652

,869

,091




,340

,000

,006

.

,230

.

,860

,758

N

5

3

6

6

3

3

5

2

6

2

3

3

Real_Interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

,041

-,223

-,790*

-,860

1

,178

-,828*

,725

-,773*

,880**

-,471

-,050

Sig. (2-tailed)

,923

,631

,020

,340




,673

,011

,103

,025

,009

,239

,907

N

8

7

8

3

8

8

8

6

8

7

8

8

Strength_of_legal_rights_index

Pearson Correlation

-,839**

-,221

-,006

.a

,178

1

-,458

.a

-,347

,438

-,264

-,155

Sig. (2-tailed)

,009

,634

,990

,000

,673




,254

,000

,400

,326

,528

,713

N

8

7

8

3

8

9

8

6

8

7

8

8

Depozit_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,207

-,112

,565

,971**

-,828*

-,458

1

-,488

,180

-,935**

,138

,435

Sig. (2-tailed)

,567

,811

,089

,006

,011

,254




,326

,619

,002

,745

,281

N

10

7

10

5

8

8

10

6

10

7

8

8

Gross_savings

Pearson Correlation

,532

-,922*

-,553

-1,000**

,725

.a

-,488

1

-,959**

,578

-,733

,878*

Sig. (2-tailed)

,277

,026

,256

.

,103

,000

,326




,003

,229

,097

,021

N

6

5

6

2

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

Gross_capital_formation

Pearson Correlation

,437

,568

,367

,578

-,773*

-,347

,180

-,959**

1

-,689

,808*

-,276

Sig. (2-tailed)

,207

,183

,197

,230

,025

,400

,619

,003




,087

,015

,509

N

10

7

14

6

8

8

10

6

14

7

8

8

External_debt_stock

Pearson Correlation

-,359

-,843*

-,735

-1,000**

,880**

,438

-,935**

,578

-,689

1

-,285

,643

Sig. (2-tailed)

,429

,035

,060

.

,009

,326

,002

,229

,087




,536

,119

N

7

6

7

2

7

7

7

6

7

7

7

7

Inflation_consumer_prices

Pearson Correlation

,136

,471

,259

,218

-,471

-,264

,138

-,733

,808*

-,285

1

-,273

Sig. (2-tailed)

,747

,286

,536

,860

,239

,528

,745

,097

,015

,536




,513

N

8

7

8

3

8

8

8

6

8

7

8

8

Lending_interest_rate

Pearson Correlation

-,293

-,897**

,237

,371

-,050

-,155

,435

,878*

-,276

,643

-,273

1

Sig. (2-tailed)

,482

,006

,572

,758

,907

,713

,281

,021

,509

,119

,513




N

8

7

8

3

8

8

8

6

8

7

8

8

**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

*. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).

a. Cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant.

Приложение 5:


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